Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.037605 0.040651 0.043850 0.047465 0.051443 0.055694 0.060588
2025-03-09 0.032260 0.036487 0.041173 0.046775 0.053315 0.060740 0.069852
2025-03-16 0.028497 0.033320 0.038887 0.045828 0.054307 0.064399 0.077428
2025-03-23 0.025936 0.031145 0.037355 0.045370 0.055533 0.068121 0.085091
2025-03-30 0.023915 0.029368 0.036048 0.044926 0.056553 0.071461 0.092343
2025-04-06 0.022039 0.027583 0.034533 0.044005 0.056764 0.073626 0.098058
2025-04-13 0.021019 0.026785 0.034177 0.044499 0.058788 0.078244 0.107400
2025-04-20 0.019939 0.025818 0.033504 0.044475 0.060040 0.081814 0.115470
2025-04-27 0.019200 0.025244 0.033298 0.045037 0.062096 0.086605 0.125669
2025-05-04 0.018265 0.024338 0.032566 0.044785 0.062923 0.089613 0.133353
2025-05-11 0.017450 0.023547 0.031936 0.044616 0.063825 0.092745 0.141437
2025-05-18 0.016651 0.022729 0.031214 0.044251 0.064378 0.095340 0.148816
2025-05-25 0.015997 0.022092 0.030726 0.044213 0.065443 0.098836 0.158057
2025-06-01 0.015217 0.021234 0.029868 0.043558 0.065487 0.100677 0.164619
2025-06-08 0.014439 0.020340 0.028909 0.042684 0.065107 0.101773 0.169925
2025-06-15 0.013839 0.019681 0.028267 0.042261 0.065421 0.104022 0.177476
2025-06-22 0.013286 0.019066 0.027659 0.041853 0.065718 0.106240 0.185134
2025-06-29 0.012664 0.018319 0.026812 0.041007 0.065212 0.107001 0.190056
2025-07-06 0.012390 0.018094 0.026764 0.041461 0.066952 0.111854 0.203371
2025-07-13 0.012024 0.017709 0.026444 0.041439 0.067849 0.115227 0.214036
2025-07-20 0.011798 0.017532 0.026446 0.041956 0.069724 0.120531 0.229173
2025-07-27 0.011425 0.017108 0.026026 0.041724 0.070225 0.123260 0.239141
2025-08-03 0.011089 0.016728 0.025663 0.041569 0.070850 0.126259 0.249976